Forecast Last Updated at Thursday, February 25, 2021 at 7:07AM

Nice Break; Reality Returns

Wednesday was a nice break--the warmest day since November 21. Today is relatively pleasant was well. However, the reality of the season briefly returns Friday. A cold front moved through Wednesday night with no fanfare. High pressure centered in the Ohio Valley today pushes a wedge of cooler air down the east side of the Appalachians tomorrow as a low moves along the front to our south. We'll have a fluky cold Friday with a mix of rain and snow (mostly snow at higher elevations). A couple slushy inches is not impossible from northern Avery County to Ashe County in NC. Temperatures quickly rebound Saturday, but a stalled front nearby will keep clouds and the threat of rain with us this weekend and early next week.

Thursday Hi: 50 Lo: 33 Mix of clouds and sun, becoming cloudy tonight; Relatively pleasant but not as warm; Light NW wind, becoming SE

Friday Hi: 37 Lo: 34 Cloudy with fog; Rain/snow mix changing to rain; SE wind 5-15 mph, becoming SW and gusty at higher elev's Fri. night

Saturday Hi: 52 Lo: 47 Generally cloudy; Less rain, but spotty light rain is still possible; SW wind 5-15 mph, breezy at higher elev's

Sunday Hi: 60 Lo: 48 Cloudy; Periods of rain, increasing Sun. night

Monday Hi: 49 Lo: 33 Remaining cloudy; Intervals of rain

Further Out

Tuesday - Generally cloudy; Cooler; Periods of light rain; High in the mid 30s; Low in the mid 30s
Wednesday - Partly cloudy; Relatively mild; High in the upper 40s; Low in the upper 30s

Forecast Discussion

A front moved through Wednesday nigh, hardly noticeable. That stalled frontal boundary will be a pain in the behind for several days with disturbances moving along it from SW to NE as the front sloshes back and forth from north to south.

High pressure is centered today in the Ohio Valley. It will push a wedge of cooler air down the east side of the Appalachians tonight and Friday. Meanwhile, the first disturbance moves across the Southeast Friday. We'll have a wintry mix of rain and snow with some freezing rain and sleet possible as well. Temperatures will hover at or just above freezing and a couple slushy inches of snow are possible from northern Avery County to Ashe County in NC. More snow is a good bet at higher elevations.

The cool wedge is scoured to the northeast Friday night and Saturday but periods of light rain remain possible during the daytime.

The next wave of moisture comes late Sunday through Monday morning. Temperatures will be warmer Sunday. We may get a break in the precipitation Monday afternoon and Monday night as the front moves back to our south.

Gradually cooler temperatures return Monday and Tuesday as (yet again) a cool wedge of air forms down the east side of the Appalachians. Details get sketchier as we get into Tuesday; but this forecast is maintaining another wave of precipitation Tuesday. Even some wintry mix will be possible, but temperatures will probably be a couple degrees warmer than Friday.

Drier weather is expected Wednesday with relatively mild temperatures as we await the next low in the parade.

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